No sooner has the desktop version of Kaby Lake landed than Intel start showing off their upcoming 10nm Cannonlake CPU design.
Now Intel have got their latest generation out and about we now know for sure what the best CPU for gaming is.
Well, Intel CEO, Brian Krzanich, took to the stage at this year's CES with a prototype 2-in-1 machine he promised was running a 10nm Cannonlake CPU anyways. He also claimed it as proof positive that Moore's Law, the doubling of transistor density every two years, is still trucking along.
"I've heard the death of Moore's Law more times than anything else in my career," he said. "And I'm here today to really show and tell you that Moore's Law is alive and well and flourishing. I could show you a bunch of foils, I could show you a bunch of benchmarks, but I thought it best just to bring 10nm Cannonlake product on to stage and let you see it live."
This was the first time Intel had been able to show functioning 10nm Cannonlake silicon running live and untethered on stage and Krzanich promised Intel would be shipping Cannonlake product before the end of 2017. What that means is there'll be a handful of low-power laptop chips in retail notebooks come Christmas 2017.
But what of desktop 10nm? Normally we'd have expected a situation similar to that of the recent Kaby Lake launch, with the high-power notebook and desktop variants arriving early the following year, but it looks like Moore's Law is going to take a stumble at that end of the market.
We're expecting Intel's six-core Coffee Lake chips to drop into our desktops in 2018, using the same 14nm+ production process they've been using in Kaby Lake, not the 10nm design Krzanich has been showing off in the Cannonlake prototype. It seems Intel will be saving the first run of 10nm CPU designs the low-power laptops.
Original story July 4, 2016: Details on the technology behind next year’s Cannonlake CPUs is to be divulged at the Intel Developer Forum in August, but what can we expect?
Every year Intel hold a geeky little tech party in San Francisco, called the Intel Developer Forum, where they wheel out their top engineers to pull back the curtain on the company’s technology for the world’s developers and tech press alike.
What’s always drawn me to IDF, like a chubby moth to a flickering flame, is the detailed insight Intel offers, not just into their existing products, but also their upcoming technological delights. And the production process shrink down to 10nm for their mainstream processors must surely be counted as one of those, if not a miracle of CPU design over the vagaries of physics.
A session, with the delightfully-broad title, Building Winning Products with Intel Advanced Technologies and Custom Foundry Platforms, headed by Intel senior fellow, Mark Bohr, will dive into the key innovations behind their advanced new 10nm process. Bohr will also be discussing the highlights of the new process as well as uncovering the 10nm platform solutions.
The journey down to 10nm has not been without its troubles. The release of Intel’s smallest lithography had been delayed from a proposed release this year to the second half of 2017, causing them to slot another CPU generation into the processor production line between Skylake and Cannonlake.
And that’s messed up their neat and tidy tick-tock release cadence.
Previously Intel have released their processors alternatively with either a shrink in the production process (tick) or a brand new CPU architecture (tock). Skylake was a tock, taking the short-lived Broadwell 14nm lithography and introducing a new architecture, and next year’s Cannonlake will be the tick shrink of the Skylake tech down to 10nm.
Except because of the technical challenges surrounding creating such miniscule transistors, poor chip yields, and because physics really doesn’t like shoving energy through such tiny physical gates, Intel needed more time to mature their 10nm tech. That means the tick-tock model now has a stutter, and that stutter is called Kaby Lake - a modest evolution of the Skylake architecture on the same 14nm process.
Fingers crossed though Kaby Lake will be similar to the Devil’s Canyon chips which filled out the Haswell CPU lineup as Broadwell was ever more delayed. Those were some high clockspeed, insanely-overclockable processors, mostly because Intel had gotten so damned good at making reliable, robust 22nm parts.
Cannonlake will reportedly use the same LGA 1151 socket as Skylake (and Kaby Lake) and run on the 200-series motherboard chipset which is set to be introduced later this year along with the Kaby Lake processors.
And beyond that? Well, the upcoming 10nm parts are likely to be the last which use Intel’s Tri-Gate transistor tech (the progenitor of the FinFET designs now used in the top GPUs). Back in 2012, at another IDF, Mark Bohr explained to us his engineers were looking at new ideas for getting their lithography down to the 7nm and 5nm levels - “some exotic” - but was confident of getting to that level.
"We have some pretty bright research engineers," said Bohr, "and I'm confident we'll have solutions for 7nm and 5nm."
After next month’s IDF we may see if Intel remains as confident of the chip manufacturer’s abilities to hit single digit lithographies.