Quite some kerfuffle yesterday with Blizzard's various random systems. Overwatch's new loot boxes promise "drastically reduced" duplicates and increases in the numbers of currency drops received. How much? We grabbed ten accounts and opened 50 boxes on PTR to find out.
Which of the Overwatch characters are you looking to show up in your loot boxes?
The big two takeaways are duplicates and currency drop rates. On duplicates, we found none at all, in 50 boxes. Some of the accounts they were opened on were quite low level, but we would expect most of those to have some duplicates in those five boxes. But there wasn't a single one, leading us to believe that Blizzard have shortcutted 'you won't get any duplicates until you run out of new items to get in that rarity' to the "drastically reduced" quote we've all heard.
On currencies, we saw 14 opened across 50 boxes, meaning around a 25-30% drop rate, we suspect. Six were epic and eight were rare (no legendary coin drops) and they had the same values as always, so no increase there. According to old data from our own findings (on page three of this article) and Reddit, this is a roughly 20% increase from the old numbers of just under 10%.
With the reduction in the feel bads from dupes, these seem like great changes. The only possible downside is you'll be getting less rare, epic, and legendary skin drops now in total, even if you have far more non-duplicate ones, because of the increase in currency drops. The algorithm may be tweaked slightly before it goes live, and at that time we can also investigate any possible changes to pity timers.